Decision Making under UncertaintyKerstin Preuschoff, Peter N. C. Mohr, Ming Hsu Most decisions in life are based on incomplete information and have uncertain consequences. To successfully cope with real-life situations, the nervous system has to estimate, represent and eventually resolve uncertainty at various levels. A common tradeoff in such decisions involves those between the magnitude of the expected rewards and the uncertainty of obtaining the rewards. For instance, a decision maker may choose to forgo the high expected rewards of investing in the stock market and settle instead for the lower expected reward and much less uncertainty of a savings account. Little is known about how different forms of uncertainty, such as risk or ambiguity, are processed and learned about and how they are integrated with expected rewards and individual preferences throughout the decision making process. With this Research Topic we aim to provide a deeper and more detailed understanding of the processes behind decision making under uncertainty. |
Contents
Decision making under uncertainty | 4 |
Different varieties of uncertainty in human decisionmaking | 6 |
Making predictions in a changing worldinference uncertainty and learning | 17 |
estimation uncertainty and unexpected uncertainty both modulate exploration | 27 |
Effects of prior knowledge on decisions made under perceptual vs categorical uncertainty | 33 |
What are the odds? The neural correlates of active choice during gambling | 43 |
Preference reversals in decision making under risk are accompanied by changes in attention to different attributes | 59 |
an fMRI investigation of the balloon analog risk task | 69 |
A neuropsychological approach to understanding risktaking for potential gains and losses | 80 |
Contextual factors explain riskseeking preferences in rhesus monkeys | 91 |
Social anxiety modulates risk sensitivity through activity in the anterior insula | 98 |
Dissociable neural processes underlying risky decisions for self versus other | 107 |
Neuroeconomic measures of social decisionmaking across the lifespan | 119 |
Social information and economic decisionmaking in the ultimatum game | 126 |
Toward an affective neuroscience account of financial risk taking | 134 |